[7] Correlates and Consequences of the 1918 Influenza in South Africa. Forthcoming. South African Journal of Economics.

(with Johan Fourie, Jan Greyling, Elie Murard, and Johannes Norling).



[6] Racial isolation drives racial voting: Evidence from the new south africa. (2021). Political Behavior, vol 43 (1). 

(with Melissa Sands)

Paper. Replication archive.


[5]  Local exposure to inequality raises support of people of low wealth for taxing the wealthy. (2020). Nature, vol 586.

(with Melissa Sands)

Paper. Replication archive.

Nature News and Views by Tredoux & Dixon


[4] Nuanced accountability: Voter responses to service provision in Southern Africa. (2020) British Journal of Political Science, vol 50 (1)

(with Evan S. Lieberman).

Paper. Replication archive.

• Previous version available as Afrobarometer Working Paper no. 161  
• Media coverage: Fin24 


[3] Democratization and economic output in Sub-Saharan Africa. (2019). Political Science Research and Methods, vol 7 (1). 

(with Stephen Wittels).

PaperReplication archive


[2] Agents of the regime? Traditional leaders and electoral behavior in South Africa. (2018). Journal of Politics, vol 80 (2). 

(with Horacio Larreguy).

PaperReplication archive

• Fiona McGillivray Award for the best Political Economy paper (APSA 2014) 


[1] Voting then, voting now: The long term consequences of participation in South Africa's first democratic election. (2017). Journal of Politics, vol 79 (2).

PaperReplication archive.

working papers & in progress

Bringing the polls to the people: How increasing electoral access encourages turnout but exacerbates political inequality. Paper.

Revise & Resubmit


Daughters do not affect political beliefs in a new democracy. Paper. 

(with Amanda Clayton and Nicolas Dumas).
Revise & Resubmit


State violence, party formation, and electoral accountability: The political legacy of the Marikana massacre. Paper.

(with Ada Johnson-Kanu and Melissa Sands). 

Revise & Resubmit


Digitizing South Africa's historical census to study the effects of (dis)enfranchisement.

(with Joachim Wehner and Johan Fourie).

- Media coverage: LSE Impact Blog


Exposure to inequality as an explanation of the Robin Hood paradox. 

(with Melissa Sands). 


Formation, fracture, and crisis: Electoral politics in post-apartheid South Africa, 1994 to 2019.


Electoral access as distributive politics [book project] 


on pause

Disengaged by choice? Why urban youth don't participate in formal politics. 

(with Kate Orkin, Adam Berinsky, and Daniel Posner).


Encouraging young South Africans to vote.

(with Kate Orkin, Adam Berinsky, and Daniel Posner).

click here for current opportunities related to ongoing research studies.