[9] State violence, party formation, and electoral accountability: The political legacy of the Marikana massacre. Forthcoming at the American Political Science Review. 

(with Ada Johnson-Kanu and Melissa Sands). 

Working paper version.


[8] Daughters do not affect political beliefs in a new democracy. (2023). Journal of Experimental Political Science, vol 10 (1).

(with Amanda Clayton and Natasha Dumas).
Paper. Replication archive.  


[7] Correlates and Consequences of the 1918 Influenza in South Africa. (2021). South African Journal of Economics, vol 89 (2).

(with Johan Fourie, Jan Greyling, Elie Murard, and Johannes Norling).



[6] Racial isolation drives racial voting: Evidence from the new south africa. (2021). Political Behavior, vol 43 (1). 

(with Melissa Sands)

Paper. Replication archive.


[5] Local exposure to inequality raises support of people of low wealth for taxing the wealthy. (2020). Nature, vol 586.

(with Melissa Sands)

Paper. Replication archive.

Nature News and Views by Tredoux & Dixon


[4] Nuanced accountability: Voter responses to service provision in Southern Africa. (2020) British Journal of Political Science, vol 50 (1)

(with Evan S. Lieberman).

Paper. Replication archive.

• Previous version available as Afrobarometer Working Paper no. 161  
• Media coverage: Fin24 


[3] Democratization and economic output in Sub-Saharan Africa. (2019). Political Science Research and Methods, vol 7 (1). 

(with Stephen Wittels).

PaperReplication archive


[2] Agents of the regime? Traditional leaders and electoral behavior in South Africa. (2018). Journal of Politics, vol 80 (2). 

(with Horacio Larreguy).

PaperReplication archive

• Fiona McGillivray Award for the best Political Economy paper (APSA 2014) 


[1] Voting then, voting now: The long term consequences of participation in South Africa's first democratic election. (2017). Journal of Politics, vol 79 (2).

PaperReplication archive.

working papers & in progress

Bringing the polls to the people: How increasing electoral access encourages turnout but exacerbates political inequality. Paper.


Tools of Voter Suppression: Racial Disenfranchisement in the Cape of Good Hope. Paper.
(with Joachim Wehner).

 - Media coverage: LSE Impact Blog


Does improving electoral access facilitate clientelism? A reassessment of theory and evidence.

(with J. Andrew Harris).


Geographic distance in quantitative social science: Concept, measurement, and analysis.

(with Melissa Sands).


Exposure to inequality as an explanation of the Robin Hood paradox. 

(with Melissa Sands). 


Formation, fracture, and crisis: Electoral politics in post-apartheid South Africa, 1994 to 2024.


Electoral access as distributive politics [book project] 

(with J. Andrew Harris).

on pause

Disengaged by choice? Why urban youth don't participate in formal politics. Paper.

(with Kate Orkin, Adam Berinsky, and Daniel Posner).


click here for current opportunities related to ongoing research studies.